Match Info

Oberliga Mittelrhein - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Frechen		Hennef 05

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.65	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 (1.36)	4.65 (4.65)	6.3 (6.3)

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Frechen
66.3%

Draw
19.4%

Hennef 05
14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

17%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Frechen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Hennef 05 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frechen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hennef 05 than the current prediction. (+2%)

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A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frechen won 4.

Frechen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hennef 05's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Frechen is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Frechen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Frechen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
19.10.25	Vichttal - Frechen	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Frechen - Fortuna Köln II	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Frechen	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Frechen - Siegburger	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- Hennef 05
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
19.10.25	Hennef 05 - Merten	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Hennef 05 - Pesch	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Düren - Hennef 05	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Hennef 05 - Fortuna Köln II	0:4 ✺
07.09.25	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Hennef 05	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLT

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
30.04.25	Hennef 05 - Frechen	0:1
13.10.24	Frechen - Hennef 05	1:0
28.04.24	Hennef 05 - Frechen	0:2
29.10.23	Frechen - Hennef 05	3:1
16.04.23	Hennef 05 - Frechen	2:1
25.09.22	Frechen - Hennef 05	2:0
29.05.22	Hennef 05 - Frechen	1:2

Frechen - Hennef 05