Match Info

Oberliga Mittelrhein - Round 28

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Frechen		Pesch

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.65	2.65
	2.23	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.08)	3.65 ↑ (3.33)	2.65 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frechen
40.8%

Draw
24.9%

Pesch
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

22.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Dilley T. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Kurogi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Friesdorf P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frechen won 2.

Frechen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pesch's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Frechen won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Frechen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
25.05.25	Blau-Weiß Königsdorf - Frechen	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Frechen - Fortuna Köln II	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Hennef 05 - Frechen	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Frechen - Union Schafhausen	6:1 ✺
13.04.25	Porz - Frechen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
25.05.25	Pesch - Vichttal	1:5 ✺
04.05.25	Bonn-Endenich - Pesch	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Pesch - Siegburger	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Merten - Pesch	4:1 ✺
04.04.25	Pesch - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.11.24	Pesch - Frechen	0:1
30.04.23	Pesch - Frechen	2:2
09.10.22	Frechen - Pesch	2:1
24.04.22	Frechen - Pesch	1:1
10.10.21	Pesch - Frechen	0:0
11.10.20	Frechen - Pesch	2:1
08.09.19	Frechen - Pesch	2:2

Frechen - Pesch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide