Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday


	Frederiquense		Monsoon

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.81	2.92	2.38
	2.87	3.09	2.4	Watch
	2.86	3.08	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	3.02 ↓ (3.38)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederiquense
32%

Draw
29.8%

Monsoon
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Frederiquense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Frederiquense - Monsoon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Frederiquense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Monsoon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frederiquense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Frederiquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
10.07.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - Frederiquense	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	Frederiquense - GE Glória	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Frederiquense - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Veranopolis - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
19.06.24	EC Cruzeiro - Frederiquense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTTW
- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
10.07.24	Monsoon - Futebol com Vida	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	EC Pelotas - Monsoon	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Lajeadense - Monsoon	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Monsoon - GE Bagé	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Aimoré - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.05.23	Monsoon - Frederiquense	1:0

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