Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Freetown City		Diamond Stars

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.06	2.93	Watch
	2.32	2.99	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freetown City
39%

Draw
30.1%

Diamond Stars
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freetown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Diamond Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freetown City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diamond Stars than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Freetown City - Diamond Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Freetown City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Diamond Stars is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Freetown City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freetown City FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
21.12.25	Kallon - Freetown City	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Freetown City - SLIFA Mount Aureol	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Bo Rangers - Freetown City	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Freetown City - Wusum Stars	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Freetown City - Luawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLLWT
- Diamond Stars
Sierra Leone Premier League
22.12.25	SLIFA Mount Aureol - Diamond Stars	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Diamond Stars - Wusum Stars	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Luawa - Diamond Stars	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Diamond Stars - Ports Authority	2:2 ✺
24.11.25	Wilberforce Strikers - Diamond Stars	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
20.04.25	Diamond Stars - Freetown City	1:0

Freetown City - Diamond Stars