The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Freetown City 16.9%
Draw 27%
Old Edwardians 56.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
30.7%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
29.9%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freetown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freetown City's form might have worsened.
Old Edwardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Old Edwardians's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freetown City than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freetown City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Old Edwardians than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Old Edwardians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3).
Freetown City has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Old Edwardians is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Freetown City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Old Edwardians will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Freetown City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Freetown City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Old Edwardians
33
13
13
7
39:23
16
52
18
Freetown City ✔
33
6
10
17
30:47
-17
28
Last Results with these Odds
Old Edwardians - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.