Match Info

Sergipano 2 - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Frei Paulistano		Boca Júnior

	1	X	2
	1.05	9.3	18.5
	1.13	6.66	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.26)	7.98 ↑ (6.5)	16.75 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frei Paulistano
83.2%

Draw
11.4%

Boca Júnior
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

14.2%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frei Paulistano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frei Paulistano's performance.

Boca Júnior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Júnior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Frei Paulistano - Boca Júnior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Frei Paulistano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Frei Paulistano is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Frei Paulistano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Frei Paulistano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Sergipano 2
04.10.25	Olimpico EC - Frei Paulistano	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Frei Paulistano - Canindé	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	América Pedrinhas - Frei Paulistano	3:3 ✺
15.09.25	Frei Paulistano - Atlético Gloriense	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Frei Paulistano - Barra SE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLT
- Sociedade Boca Júnior
Brazilian Sergipano 2
25.09.25	Desportiva Aracaju - Boca Júnior	8:1 ✺
11.09.25	Flamengo SE - Boca Júnior	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Frei Paulistano - Boca Júnior	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
26.03.22	Boca Júnior - Atlético Gloriense	1:3 ✺
16.03.22	Sergipe - Boca Júnior	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Sergipano 2
13.10.24	Frei Paulistano - Boca Júnior	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
28.02.21	Boca Júnior - Frei Paulistano	3:0
11.01.20	Boca Júnior - Frei Paulistano	1:3
11.02.17	Boca Júnior - Frei Paulistano	0:1

Frei Paulistano - Boca Júnior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide