Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday


	Freiberg		Linx

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.5	11.5
	1.08	7.5	13
	1.13	6.4	11
	1.19	6.85	14.49
	1.14	5.8	17
	1.13	7.7	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.64)	6.79 ↑ (4.5)	13.5 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiberg
79.9%

Draw
13.4%

Linx
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

20.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

13.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiberg's performance.

Linx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Linx might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-42.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linx than the current prediction. (+29.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linx could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Freiberg - Linx Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Linx could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Linx have a series of home games.

In this match Freiberg is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SGV Freiberg
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
09.10.21	Pforzheim - Freiberg	0:4 ✺
02.10.21	Freiberg - Neckarsulmer	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Rielasingen-Arlen - Freiberg	1:1 ✺
22.09.21	Backnang - Freiberg	0:3 ✺
15.09.21	Villingen - Freiberg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTWW
- SV Linx
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
09.10.21	Linx - Ravensburg	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Backnang - Linx	3:0 ✺
15.09.21	Linx - Astoria Walldorf II	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Linx - Oberachern	1:0 ✺
01.09.21	Nöttingen - Linx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
26.09.20	Freiberg - Linx	7:0
07.12.19	Freiberg - Linx	1:2
03.08.19	Linx - Freiberg	2:4
11.05.19	Linx - Freiberg	6:3
10.11.18	Freiberg - Linx	2:0

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