Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Wacker K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
World	OneFootball TV


	Freiburg		Bayer 04 Leverkusen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.20	3.90	1.60
	4.2	3.85	1.6	Watch
	4.4	4.19	1.62
	4.39	4.27	1.65	Watch
	4.3	4	1.57
	4.55	4.05	1.56
	4.3	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.95)	4.04 ↑ (3.65)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
20.9%

Draw
22.5%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24.4%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.6%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Reimann A. (G) 2. Karl L. (C) 3. Axtmann A. 5. Stierli J. 32. Memminger E. 10. Vobian S. 15. Schneider M. 30. Acikgoz I. 22. Kolb L. 23. Birkholz L. E. 14. Brunold C.	12. Borggrafe R. (G) 10. Gonzalez E. 24. Turanyi L. 5. Wenger C. 8. Brandau J. 21. Fudalla V. 6. Platner P. 16. Zdebel S. (C) 28. Tomasiak P. 23. Sternad M. 7. Kramer C.
Substitutes
17. Arfaoui A. 8. Bienz A. 31. Ernst L. 16. Hebben J. 6. Ojukwu N. 9. Seghir S. 25. Simmen W. 29. Vincze B. D. 21. von Schrader L. (G)	19. Bender L. 42. Coskun S. 9. Kehrer C. 18. Loonen L. 34. Misini L. 27. Muller M. 2. Ostermeier S. 1. Voll C. (G) 14. Wallrabenstein E.
Coaches
Konrad M.	Patzold R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kramer C. (Own goal),
23', Turanyi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Schneider M. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
46', Fudalla V. ↓, Loonen L. ↑,
49', Kolb L. ↓, Arfaoui A. ↑,
55', Arfaoui A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Kramer C. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Brandau J. 🟨,
66', Sternad M. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
69', Stierli J. 🟨,
74', Brunold C. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
74', Vobian S. ↓, Vincze B. D. ↑,
77', Turanyi L. ↓, Ostermeier S. ↑,
77', Zdebel S. ↓, Misini L. ↑,
80', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
80', Vincze B. D. 🟨,
89', Kramer C. ↓, Kehrer C. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Tomasiak P. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1.

Freiburg is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Bayer have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Freiburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bayer carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Freiburg has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:34 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Freiburg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 21:18 goals (averaging 1.9:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	6	4	0	2	12:9	3	12
6	Freiburg W	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
13.09.26	Freiburg - Mainz	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Hamburger SV - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
14.08.26	Freiburg - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTW
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen Women
German Bundesliga Women
14.09.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	RB Leipzig - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
15.08.26	Standard Liège - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
26.04.26	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Freiburg	4:1
10.11.25	Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:1
26.01.25	Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:2
14.12.24	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0
31.08.24	Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2:3
10.03.24	Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:0
15.10.23	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Freiburg	3:0

Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide