Match Info

GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA PLAY OFFS - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday


	Freiburg U19		Karlsruher U19

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.7	2
	2.6	3.95	2
	2.66	4.15	2.02
	2.88	3.4	2.05
	2.83	3.9	2.1
	2.75	3.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.05)	3.8 ↓ (4.12)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg U19
32.5%

Draw
23.6%

Karlsruher U19
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

21.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

21.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Karlsruher U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg U19 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher U19 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlsruher U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Freiburg U19 - Karlsruher U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg U19 won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Freiburg U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karlsruher U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Freiburg U19 won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg U19 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg U19
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
14.05.23	Hannover U19 - Freiburg U19	0:3 ✺
10.05.23	Freiburg U19 - 1860 München U19	6:1 ✺
07.05.23	St. Pauli U19 - Freiburg U19	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Stuttgart U19 - Freiburg U19	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Freiburg U19 - Hoffenheim U19	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTLL
- Karlsruher U19
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
20.05.23	Karlsruher U19 - Hannover U19	3:5 ✺
17.05.23	Karlsruher U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	1860 München U19 - Karlsruher U19	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Eintracht Frankfurt U19 - Karlsruher U19	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Karlsruher U19 - Darmstadt U19	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga South
21.08.22	Karlsruher U19 - Freiburg U19	5:1
26.11.21	Karlsruher U19 - Freiburg U19	1:1
01.02.20	Freiburg U19 - Karlsruher U19	3:0
17.08.19	Karlsruher U19 - Freiburg U19	1:1
03.02.19	Freiburg U19 - Karlsruher U19	3:1
15.08.18	Karlsruher U19 - Freiburg U19	1:0
14.04.18	Karlsruher U19 - Freiburg U19	0:0

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