Match Info

Oberliga NOFV- Sud - Round 11

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Freital		Budissa Bautzen

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.35	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)	4.35 ↑ (4.25)	4.15 ↑ (3.85)

The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freital
57.8%

Draw
20.6%

Budissa Bautzen
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

21.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

19.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Budissa Bautzen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freital than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Budissa Bautzen aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Nordost and 5).

Freital has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bautzen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bautzen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Freital is the team to beat.

We predict that Freital will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freital won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Freital won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freital
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
25.10.25	Freital - Heiligenstadt	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Freital - Plauen	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Krieschow - Freital	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Freital - Union Sandersdorf	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Einheit Wernigerode - Freital	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWW
- FSV Budissa Bautzen
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
26.10.25	Budissa Bautzen - Einheit Rudolstadt	5:0 ✺
19.10.25	Plauen - Budissa Bautzen	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Budissa Bautzen - Krieschow	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Union Sandersdorf - Budissa Bautzen	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Budissa Bautzen - Einheit Wernigerode	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
02.08.24	Freital - Budissa Bautzen	1:2
19.04.24	Budissa Bautzen - Freital	0:1
06.10.23	Freital - Budissa Bautzen	3:0
04.03.23	Freital - Budissa Bautzen	1:2
18.09.22	Budissa Bautzen - Freital	1:2

Freital - Budissa Bautzen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide