Match Info

2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 28

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Sundby Idraetspark (Copenhagen)


	Fremad Amager		Middelfart

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.6
	2.28	3.15	2.8
	2.31	3.21	2.95
	2.35	3.23	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.38	3.26	2.99
	2.28	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.55)	3.16 ↓ (3.49)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremad Amager
39.3%

Draw
28.9%

Middelfart
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremad Amager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Middelfart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Middelfart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremad Amager than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middelfart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fremad Amager - Middelfart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dalsgaard H. (G) 8. Andersen K. 2. Dupont O. 19. Heller M. 10. Holst F. 20. Mortensen D. 25. Petraeus A. 6. Reese S. 21. Simonsen J. 7. Tosse K. 9. Zeqiri E.	1. Radza C. (G) 14. Barholt N. 9. Boesen M. 17. Greve M. 20. Jorgensen L. 6. Kakeeto R. 7. Linnet J. 12. Thomsen L. 4. Vetter J. 11. Villemoes J. 5. Zjajo B.
Substitutes
12. Derrar H. 70. Johansen A. 4. Langberg M. 22. Manniche B. 24. Schonewolf-Greulich V. (G) 77. Wielzen J. 11. Zohore K.	21. Andersen E. 22. Boyum Johansen C. 16. Jepsen-Jacob R. (G) 3. Kristensen M. 19. Kristensen P. 23. Kwasniak V. 25. Pedersen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amager won 0.

In recent matches, Amager has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Middelfart is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Amager may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Amager won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Amager won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremad Amager
Danish 2 Division
13.05.25	Skive IK - Fremad Amager	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Fremad Amager - AB Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Middelfart - Fremad Amager	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Næstved BK - Fremad Amager	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLLW
- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 2 Division
14.05.25	Middelfart - Aarhus Fremad	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Næstved BK - Middelfart	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Middelfart - Fremad Amager	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Middelfart - AB Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Skive IK - Middelfart	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
02.05.25	Middelfart - Fremad Amager	3:1
26.10.24	Middelfart - Fremad Amager	1:1
31.08.24	Fremad Amager - Middelfart	0:4
28.03.24	Fremad Amager - Middelfart	1:3
26.08.23	Middelfart - Fremad Amager	1:0
Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
04.06.16	Middelfart - Fremad Amager	0:1

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