Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Western Australia - Round 21

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday


	Fremantle City		Inglewood United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.75	5.5
	1.38	4.75	6	Watch
	1.45	5.58	4.9
	1.41	5.51	5.76	Watch
	1.37	4.95	6.07	Watch
	1.38	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)	5.05 ↓ (5.25)	5.71 ↓ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremantle City
65.6%

Draw
18.2%

Inglewood United
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

17.4%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

11.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremantle City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Inglewood United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fremantle City than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fremantle City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inglewood United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Fremantle City - Inglewood United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Chechlacz C. ⚽,
45', Formston A. 🟥,
45+1', 2 - 0, Bingwa T. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Loughrey P. ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Silla A. ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 0, Loughrey P. ⚽,
90+5', 6 - 0, Woodcock R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremantle City FC
Australian NPL Western Australia
16.08.24	Perth SC - Fremantle City	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Fremantle City - Western Knights	1:4 ✺
27.07.24	Perth Glory U23 - Fremantle City	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Fremantle City - Perth RedStar	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Fremantle City - Stirling Macedonia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWTT
- Inglewood United
Australian NPL Western Australia
21.08.24	Bayswater City - Inglewood United	6:2 ✺
10.08.24	Inglewood United - Olympic Kingsway	1:5 ✺
27.07.24	Armadale - Inglewood United	4:1 ✺
20.07.24	Inglewood United - Balcatta	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Floreat Athena - Inglewood United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
01.06.24	Inglewood United - Fremantle City	0:3

Fremantle City - Inglewood United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide