Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Frome Town		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.40	3.20
	1.92	3.35	3.25
	2.02	3.38	3.31
	2.04	3.54	3.37	Watch
	2.00	3.30	3.25
	1.98	3.36	3.35
	1.95	3.50	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
45.8%

Draw
26.6%

Hanwell Town
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Frome Town - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Snee H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, Ali Z. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Snee H. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Frome has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hanwell Town has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Frome may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Frome will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Frome won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Frome won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Hanwell Town: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frome	10	4	3	3	17:13	4	15
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7:10	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Hanwell Town - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 26.78%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Frome Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Frome Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Frome Town	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Evesham United - Frome Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLW
- Hanwell Town
English FA Cup
04.09.26	Flackwell Heath - Hanwell Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Berkhamsted - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hanwell Town - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hanwell Town - Sholing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.03.25	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	1:0
03.12.24	Hanwell Town - Frome Town	0:2
English FA Trophy
12.11.16	Hanwell Town - Frome Town	0:1

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