Match Info

National 2 - Group C - Round 28

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël		Toulon

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.2	2.78
	2.38	3.06	2.73
	2.43	3.05	2.83
	2.3	2.9	2.75
	2.33	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.76 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël
38.3%

Draw
29.1%

Toulon
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fréjus Saint-Raphaël than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Fréjus Saint Raphaël - Toulon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fréjus won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fréjus won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fréjus won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Toulon	6	3	2	1	9:5	4	11
8	Frejus Saint Raphael	6	3	0	3	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EFC Fréjus Saint-Raphaël
French National 1 - Group C
25.04.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Saint-Priest	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	GFA Rumilly Vallières - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Limonest	1:4 ✺
03.04.26	Istres - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Andrézieux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLLT
- Toulon
French National 1 - Group C
25.04.26	Toulon - GFA Rumilly Vallières	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Limonest - Toulon	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Toulon - Istres	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Andrézieux - Toulon	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Toulon - Cannes	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
10.01.26	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:1
French National 1 - Group A
02.11.24	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:0
27.04.24	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	2:0
16.12.23	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:0
French National 1 - Group C
21.01.23	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	2:2
27.08.22	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	0:0
11.12.21	Toulon - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	0:0

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide