Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Fuenlabrada		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	2.87	3	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.23	3	2.38
	3.16	2.92	2.33	Watch
	3.21	2.92	2.36
	3.1	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
29.7%

Draw
30.6%

Alcorcón
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.1%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 3. Barbu 4. Mauro M. 6. Alvaro Garcia 20. Casas I. 10. Galindo A. 18. Sangare L. 14. Barbosa A. (C) 15. Moyano A. 11. Abde 9. Omoigui C.	1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 5. Rentero J. 4. Rojas J. 18. Stitch 12. Nunez J. 8. Ballesteros Y. 23. Navarro D. 16. Capitas M. 21. Llorente R. 7. Aparicio E.
Substitutes
5. Alba D. 13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 22. Javi Curras 7. Manu 21. Nene 17. Ouacharaf B. 26. Reguilon M. 28. Sanchez R.	6. Alonso I. 14. da Costa M. 13. Josele (G) 11. Kopotun V. 22. Lachevre M. 15. Manrique C. 17. Navarro S. 9. Perez E. 10. Rodriguez R. 27. Santiago A. 3. Vilanova A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Capitas M. ↓, da Costa M. ↑,
65', Aparicio E. ↓, Kopotun V. ↑,
66', Galindo A. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Nunez J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
74', Navarro D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
77', Abde ↓, Javi Curras ↑,
77', Barbu ↓, Alba D. ↑,
86', Moyano A. 🟨,
86', Llorente R. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
89', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Reguilon M. ↑,
89', Omoigui C. ↓, Faure I. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1.

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.08.24	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Fuenlabrada - Antequera	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.24	Fuenlabrada - Torrejón	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.08.24	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:1 ✺
25.08.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Alcorcón - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Alcorcón - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
07.08.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Alcorcón	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.24	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.03.23	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:4
03.12.22	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	2:2
21.08.21	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	0:2
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
22.01.21	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:0

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