Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Fuenlabrada		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.35
	2.85	2.85	2.37
	2.95	3	2.45
	3.01	3.05	2.48
	2.93	2.98	2.43	Watch
	3.04	3	2.38
	2.95	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.2)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.42 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
31.1%

Draw
30.9%

Atlético Madrid B
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuenlabrada - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 20. Casas I. 5. Alba D. 4. Mauro M. 3. Barbu 14. Barbosa A. 15. Moyano A. 6. Alvaro Garcia 10. Galindo A. 9. Omoigui C. 11. Abde	1. Iturbe A. (G) 4. Bonar J. 2. Pascual M. 5. Kostis I. 3. Diaz J. 20. Belaid R. 10. Gismera A. 12. Spina G. 14. Gonzalez J. 24. Mollejo V. 27. Janneh O.
Substitutes
16. Aguza S. 13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 22. Javi Curras 7. Manu 21. Nene 17. Ouacharaf B. 26. Reguilon M. 8. Ruiz Fer 18. Sangare L.	30. Corral A. 18. Diallo Selu M. 31. Embadje F. (G) 29. Frey D. 23. Gimenez C. 17. Luque I. 8. Mestanza A. 28. Munoz D. 9. Nino A. 19. Raihani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
33', Barbu 🟨,
41', Abde 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Pascual M. 🟨,
66', Mollejo V. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
66', Gonzalez J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
74', Abde ↓, Manu ↑,
74', Moyano A. ↓, Sangare L. ↑,
74', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Aguza S. ↑,
82', Spina G. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
82', Janneh O. ↓, Raihani A. ↑,
89', Bonar J. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
90', Manu 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 1, Nino A. ⚽,
90+4', Nino A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Marbella - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Leganés	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.08.24	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Intercity - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.03.19	Atlético Madrid B - Fuenlabrada	0:0
21.10.18	Fuenlabrada - Atlético Madrid B	2:0
25.02.18	Fuenlabrada - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
08.10.17	Atlético Madrid B - Fuenlabrada	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.04.15	Atlético Madrid B - Fuenlabrada	2:3
16.11.14	Fuenlabrada - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
09.03.14	Atlético Madrid B - Fuenlabrada	2:2

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