Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4Date: 28 September 2025, SundayLocation: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)
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 |
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 |
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Fuenlabrada |
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Rayo Vallecano B |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.73 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.65 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.76 |
4.07 |
3.84 |
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 |
1.22 |
6.64 |
8.89 |
 Watch |
 |
1.81 |
3.64 |
3.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(2.95) |
4.34 ↑
(3.21) |
4.85 ↑
(2.22) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada
58.1% | Draw
22.1% | Rayo Vallecano B
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fuenlabrada's performance.Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-28.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+22.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Nates D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Nates D. ⚽,
- 54', 3 - 0, Llorente E. ⚽,
- 61', 4 - 0, Llorente E. ⚽,
- 81', 5 - 0, Nates D. ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Fuenlabrada has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Rayo Vallecano B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Fuenlabrada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Fuenlabrada is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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