Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)


	Fylde		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.13	3.72	3.19
	2.14	3.6	3.12	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.11	3.52	3.12
	2.15	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
43.6%

Draw
26.1%

Maidenhead United
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Fylde - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 19. Brennan L. 4. Davis H. 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 7. Jolley C. 6. Long A. 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C)	13. Ross C. (G) 19. Cochrane O. 8. Ferguson N. 15. Johnson J. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 24. Massey A. (C) 9. McCoulsky S. 11. Mitchell-Lawson J. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R.
Substitutes
2. Gamble P. 30. Mitchell E. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 1. Richardson T. (G) 9. Zanzala O.	23. Abrahams T. 32. Ajose J. 7. Carvalho R. 1. Collins H. (G) 4. De Havilland W. 12. Keetch B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Mitchell-Lawson J. 🟨,
42', Ustabasi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Jolley C. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
59', Whelan C. ↓, Mitchell E. ↑,
59', Brennan L. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
67', Mitchell E. 🟨,
72', Ustabasi J. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
74', Mitchell-Lawson J. ↓, Ajose J. ↑,
90+1', Evans O. ↓, Gamble P. ↑,
90+2', Davis H. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 3.

Recent matches Fylde is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maidenhead is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Fylde have a series of guest games.

Fylde will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fylde won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
20.08.24	Oldham Athletic - Fylde	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Eastleigh - Fylde	4:2 ✺
10.08.24	Fylde - Solihull Moors	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Radcliffe - Fylde	3:3 ✺
30.07.24	Barrow - Fylde	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TLWTW
- Maidenhead United
English National League
20.08.24	Maidenhead United - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Solihull Moors - Maidenhead United	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Maidenhead United - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.03.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	4:1
05.08.23	Maidenhead United - Fylde	2:2
29.10.19	Maidenhead United - Fylde	1:1
02.03.19	Fylde - Maidenhead United	2:1
27.10.18	Maidenhead United - Fylde	0:6
30.12.17	Maidenhead United - Fylde	1:2
15.08.17	Fylde - Maidenhead United	1:4

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