The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fénix 24.1%
Draw 33.4%
Cañuelas 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
33.2%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
32.9%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.
Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cañuelas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cañuelas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Fénix - Cañuelas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fénix will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cañuelas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 1, Roca T. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Coyette M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 1.
Fénix is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cañuelas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fénix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).