Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Górnik Zabrze		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.75	6.75
	1.43	4.6	6.4
	1.4	4.8	6.8
	1.42	5.21	7.43
	1.36	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.9	6.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	4.73 ↑ (3.8)	6.96 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
66.7%

Draw
19.8%

Górnik Łęczna
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.9%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Zabrze's performance.

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Zabrze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Górnik Zabrze - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Górnik Zabrze could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Górnik Zabrze is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Zabrze won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.05.22	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	5:3 ✺
29.04.22	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
22.04.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	2:4 ✺
18.04.22	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
10.04.22	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Zabrze	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.05.22	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
20.04.22	Lech Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	3:0 ✺
16.04.22	Górnik Łęczna - Radomiak Radom	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
27.11.21	Górnik Łęczna - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
07.05.16	Górnik Łęczna - Górnik Zabrze	0:0
28.11.15	Górnik Zabrze - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
27.07.15	Górnik Łęczna - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
21.02.15	Górnik Łęczna - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
23.08.14	Górnik Zabrze - Górnik Łęczna	2:0

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