Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Göztepe		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.1
	1.88	3.44	4.12
	1.96	3.4	4.43
	1.87	3.33	4.37	Watch
	1.85	3.66	4.63	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	4.28 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
50.8%

Draw
27.2%

İstanbul Başakşehir
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	45%	10%

Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Göztepe will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Göztepe (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (3.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Başakşehir (4.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Başakşehir (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Başakşehir (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Göztepe (votes: 4 - 25%). Başakşehir (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 3. Allan Godoi 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 6. Rhaldney 30. Dennis A. 15. Cherni A. 20. Miroshi N. 39. Janderson 9. Juan Santos	16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. 27. Ba O. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 2. Ozdemir B. 18. Kaluzinski J. 13. Crespo M. 25. Harit A. 10. Da Costa N. 14. Shomurodov E.
Substitutes
4. Altikardes T. 23. Bayir F. 11. Bekiroglu E. 24. Bouajila S. 8. Ildiz A. 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 12. Koybasi I. 13. Ruan Teixeira 7. Sabra I. 22. Yildiz U.	80. Alemdar D. (G) 17. Beyaz O. 77. Brnic I. 36. Ebosele F. 4. Ergun O. 11. Fayzullaev A. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 23. Turuc D. 91. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Ba O. 🟨,
26', Juan Santos (Pen),
43', 1 - 0, Juan Santos ⚽, Allan Godoi (A),
45+2', Operi C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dennis A. 🟨,
61', Da Costa N. ↓, Fayzullaev A. ↑,
61', Crespo M. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
69', Dennis A. ↓, Ildiz A. ↑,
69', Juan Santos ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
69', Rhaldney ↓, Bekiroglu E. ↑,
75', Sahiner O. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
75', Harit A. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
80', Ildiz A. 🟨,
81', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
84', Janderson ↓, Bayir F. ↑,
88', Kurtulan A. ↓, Altikardes T. ↑,
90+2', Turuc D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 3.

Göztepe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Başakşehir has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Göztepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Göztepe is the team to beat.

There will not play in Göztepe: Bayrak O. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Duarte L. (Injury) Sari Y. (Injury) Selke D. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Göztepe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
27.09.25	Eyüpspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kayserispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Göztepe - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTTW
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
28.09.25	Konyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
28.04.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1
30.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	4:1
Turkish Cup
20.12.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	3:1
Turkish Super League
22.01.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	1:2
12.09.21	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1
14.02.21	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1
03.10.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	0:0

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