The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GE Glória 66.6%
Draw 22%
EC Cruzeiro 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.5%
20.1%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.7%
19.2%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GE Glória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
EC Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GE Glória than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
GE Glória - EC Cruzeiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
38', Tiago Troleze 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3).
Glória is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
EC Cruzeiro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
EC Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Glória is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Glória to win the game is with odds 1.34.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Glória won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Glória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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