Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	GOES		Lisse

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.70	1.66
	3.95	3.8	1.65
	4.05	3.83	1.62
	4.15	4.02	1.66	Watch
	3.95	3.75	1.58
	4.3	3.92	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.77)	3.84 ↓ (4.23)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOES
22%

Draw
23.3%

Lisse
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

21.6%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

21.1%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lisse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GOES than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisse than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

GOES - Lisse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 4)

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Promotion: )).

Recent results have been tough for GOES (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Lisse have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

GOES may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lisse has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Lisse is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, GOES has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 1:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for GOES against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV GOES
Dutch Derde Divisie
11.10.26	Groene Ster - GOES	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	GOES - UDI 19	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	GOES - UNA	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Blauw Geel 38 - GOES	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	GOES - Rijnvogels	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTL
- FC Lisse
Dutch Derde Divisie
04.10.26	Gemert - Lisse	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	VV Zwaluwen - Lisse	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lisse - TOGB	3:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	Genemuiden - Lisse	2:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
22.08.26	Roosendaal - Lisse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
15.11.25	Lisse - GOES	3:0
01.12.24	GOES - Lisse	2:3

GOES - Lisse