Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GAUCHO 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Gaúcho		Tupi RS

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.75
	2.01	2.97	3.53
	1.95	2.88	3.75
	2.02	3.13	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.68 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaúcho
45.4%

Draw
30.1%

Tupi RS
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaúcho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tupi RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tupi RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaúcho than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tupi RS than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: )).

Gaúcho is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tupi RS is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tupi RS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaúcho will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gaúcho won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Gaúcho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Gaúcho
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
14.05.23	GE Glória - Gaúcho	1:0 ✺
10.05.23	Gaúcho - Veranopolis	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Gaúcho - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Monsoon - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Gaúcho - Frederiquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- Tupi RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
14.05.23	Tupi RS - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Monsoon - Tupi RS	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Tupi RS - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Passo Fundo - Tupi RS	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Tupi RS - Veranopolis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
12.06.22	Gaúcho - Tupi RS	1:0
10.04.22	Tupi RS - Gaúcho	0:0

Gaúcho - Tupi RS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide