The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gabès 44.1%
Draw 37.2%
Monastir 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
30.3%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
28.4%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabès's performance.
Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monastir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabès than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabès that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+23.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monastir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gabès - Monastir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Chouaya A. (G) 17. Abdourahmane M. 25. Assane R. 5. Belghith M. 23. Boulila A. 21. Diolvy Agdavain M. 11. El Beji N. 33. Guezmir H. 30. Khedher N. 15. Naoui M. 7. Teka H.
22. Hallaoui A. (G) 8. Amri Y. 25. Chikhaoui R. 6. Diane O. 7. Dridi Y. 29. Gadiaga I. 2. Ghorbel M. 15. Haj Ali M. 3. Herch Y. 35. Miladi M. 18. Souissi I.
Substitutes
18. Ahoudo G. 32. Ben Attig H. (G) 8. Hamed M. N. 3. Helali N. 24. Idriss M. 13. Jmal H. 20. Khadhraoui M. 10. Sekrafi M. 29. Traore F.
13. Azzouz R. 14. Barhoumi S. 28. Ben Youssef F. 27. Douihech N. 23. El Djebali C. 33. Elhmidi M. 19. Ganouni M. 4. Maatougui D. 24. Slimane A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Belghith M. ↓, Ahoudo G. ↑,
18', Dridi Y. 🟥,
26', Gadiaga I. ↓, Douihech N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miladi M. ↓, Azzouz R. ↑,
61', Souissi I. ↓, Ben Youssef F. ↑,
67', Boulila A. ↓, Traore F. ↑,
67', Diolvy Agdavain M. ↓, Hamed M. N. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Ahoudo G. ⚽,
70', Ahoudo G. 🟨,
80', Diane O. ↓, Ganouni M. ↑,
80', Amri Y. ↓, Elhmidi M. ↑,
83', Teka H. ↓, Khadhraoui M. ↑,
89', Assane R. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Chikhaoui R. ⚽, Ghorbel M. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabès won 0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Monastir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Monastir will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gabès won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gabès won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Tunisia
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Chouaya A. (G) 
Abdourahmane M. 
Diolvy Agdavain M. 
Diane O. 
Gadiaga I. 
Ahoudo G. 
Idriss M. 
Ganouni M. 
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