Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Gama		Porto Velho

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.00	8.25
	1.21	5.40	10.50
	1.29	4.90	7.20
	1.38	4.25	7.8	Watch
	1.20	4.90	8.75
	1.20	6.02	14.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	5.08 ↑ (4.23)	9.45 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gama
72.4%

Draw
17.9%

Porto Velho
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

21.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

20.1%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gama's performance.

Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gama than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Gama - Porto Velho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Henrique Almeida ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Felipe Clemente ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

Gama is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Porto Velho is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gama is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gama won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE do Gama
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	Gama - Mixto	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Mixto - Gama	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Gama - Aparecidense	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Inhumas - Gama	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Gama - Primavera AC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW
- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.26	Porto Velho - São Raimundo PR	2:1 penalties ✺
21.06.26	São Raimundo PR - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Galvez - Porto Velho	2:6 ✺
24.05.26	Araguaína - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Porto Velho - Guaporé	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
31.07.21	Gama - Porto Velho	1:1
10.07.21	Porto Velho - Gama	1:1

Gama - Porto Velho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide