Match Info

GFA League - Round 15

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Gambian Dutch Lions		Samger

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.86	Watch
	1.97	2.97	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 (1.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	3.87 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gambian Dutch Lions
46.1%

Draw
30.3%

Samger
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

30%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gambian Dutch Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Samger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gambian Dutch Lions than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samger than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Gambian Dutch Lions - Samger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Dutch Lions is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Samger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Samger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dutch Lions might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dutch Lions	30	7	13	10	33:33	0	34
15	Samger	30	6	14	10	23:27	-4	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gambian Dutch Lions
Gambian GFA League
21.02.26	Gambian Dutch Lions - Medina United	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	TMT - Gambian Dutch Lions	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Gambian Dutch Lions - Gambia Ports Authority	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Banjul Hawks - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Team Rhino - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTT
- Samger FC
Gambian GFA League
20.02.26	Bombada - Samger	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Samger - Hart Academy	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Samger - Greater Tomorrow	2:3 ✺
04.02.26	Samger - Fortune	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Real Banjul - Samger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLTT

Gambian Dutch Lions - Samger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide