Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 12

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Gamle Oslo		Sarpsborg 2

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.95	3.3
	1.8	3.95	3.3
	1.75	4.2	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	4.03 ↓ (4.5)	3.36 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamle Oslo
50.7%

Draw
22.4%

Sarpsborg 2
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

20.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

19.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamle Oslo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamle Oslo's form might have worsened.

Sarpsborg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamle Oslo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gamle Oslo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Gamle Oslo - Sarpsborg 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Nordby A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Sorlie S. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 6).

Gamle Oslo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sarpsborg 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gamle Oslo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gamle Oslo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gamle Oslo to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamle Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
17.06.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Gamle Oslo	2:3 ✺
08.06.24	Gamle Oslo - Åskollen	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Flint - Gamle Oslo	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Gamle Oslo - Åssiden	2:1 ✺
16.05.24	Oppsal - Gamle Oslo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
15.06.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Frigg Oslo	0:2 ✺
07.06.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Åssiden	3:1 ✺
03.06.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Sarpsborg 2	1:3 ✺
27.05.24	Sarpsborg 2 - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2	3:1 ✺
21.05.24	Skeid 2 - Sarpsborg 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

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