Match Info

Primus League - Round 24

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Garage Express		Inter Star

	1	X	2
	5.82	3.26	1.63	Watch
	5	3	1.73
	6.08	3.2	1.6
	4.7	3.13	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (3.35)	3.15 ↑ (3)	1.68 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garage Express
16.9%

Draw
28.9%

Inter Star
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

30.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garage Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garage Express's form might have worsened.

Inter Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garage Express than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garage Express, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Star than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Garage Express - Inter Star Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Garage Express has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Inter Star is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Inter Star may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inter Star is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garage Express won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Inter Star	29	8	8	13	37:39	-2	32
15	Garage Express ✔	29	3	9	17	15:59	-44	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garage Express FC
Burundi Premier League
01.03.26	VitalO - Garage Express	8:1 ✺
21.02.26	Garage Express - Royal Vision 2026	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Le Messager de Ngozi - Garage Express	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Garage Express - Olympique Star	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Musongati - Garage Express	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTTTT
- AS Inter Star
Burundi Premier League
20.02.26	Muzinga - Inter Star	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Inter Star - Flambeau du Centre	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Bumamuru Standard - Inter Star	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Inter Star - Ngozi City	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Aigle Noir - Inter Star	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Burundi Premier League
01.10.25	Inter Star - Garage Express	4:1

Garage Express - Inter Star: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide