Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Garching		Nördlingen

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.52
	4.96	4.48	1.53
	5.11	4.46	1.51
	4.75	4.33	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.19)	4.4 ↑ (4.08)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garching
18.8%

Draw
20.9%

Nördlingen
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

22.7%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.8%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Nördlingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nördlingen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garching than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nördlingen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nördlingen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Garching - Nördlingen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
4', 0 - 1, Taglieber M. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Gunzel F. ⚽,
14', 1 - 2, Rauser P. ⚽,
28', 1 - 3, Maksimovic S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 4, Maksimovic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 1 - 5, Grimm J. ⚽,
87', 1 - 6, Brandt J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 6, Boubacar H. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Garching is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nördlingen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nördlingen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nördlingen is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Garching won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Garching won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Garching
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
28.04.24	Türkspor Augsburg - Garching	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Garching - Landsberg	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Dachau - Garching	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Garching - Gundelfingen	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pipinsried - Garching	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WLLLW
- TSV 1861 Nördlingen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
27.04.24	Nördlingen - Sonthofen	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Kirchanschöring - Nördlingen	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Nördlingen - Erlbach	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Rain am Lech - Nördlingen	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Nördlingen - Schwaben Augsburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
08.10.23	Nördlingen - Garching	3:0
13.05.23	Nördlingen - Garching	6:2
16.10.22	Garching - Nördlingen	0:2

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