Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	Garching		Schwabmunchen

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.35	3.25	2.45
	2.55	3.25	2.3
	2.72	3.45	2.45
	2	4	2.9
	2.57	3.64	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.02)	3.5 ↓ (4)	2.46 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garching
37.1%

Draw
26%

Schwabmunchen
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

16.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garching's form might have worsened.

Schwabmunchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garching than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garching that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schwabmunchen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schwabmunchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Garching - Schwabmunchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Garching has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Schwabmunchen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Schwabmunchen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Garching will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Garching won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Garching won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Garching
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
14.08.21	Deisenhofen - Garching	3:1 ✺
08.08.21	Garching - Ingolstadt II	2:3 ✺
03.08.21	Ismaning - Garching	1:1 ✺
31.07.21	Garching - Schwaben Augsburg	1:2 ✺
28.07.21	Jahn Regensburg II - Garching	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- TSV Schwabmunchen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
15.08.21	Schwabmunchen - Landsberg	0:3 ✺
08.08.21	1860 München II - Schwabmunchen	3:0 ✺
04.08.21	Schwabmunchen - Pullach	3:0 ✺
31.07.21	Gundelfingen - Schwabmunchen	3:0 ✺
28.07.21	Schwabmunchen - TSV Kottern	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
15.11.15	Schwabmunchen - Garching	0:1
26.07.15	Garching - Schwabmunchen	4:1

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