The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gareji Sagarejo 16.5%
Draw 23.9%
Dila Gori 59.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.3%
27.5%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
26.6%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Dila Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dila Gori's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dila Gori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Gareji Sagarejo - Dila Gori Predictions
Users Predictions:
Dila Gori will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dila Gori will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 12. Olkhovi V. 3. Kamladze I. 5. Gabadze G. 2. Mosashvili B. 21. Dzebniauri T. 17. Vekua G. 13. Galakhvaridze N. 23. Tolordava L. 9. Gogolashvili G. 10. Papava L. (C)
1. Kereselidze D. (C) 2. Kikabidze T. 3. Mendes P. 13. Joao Araujo 26. Tiboue J. 7. Konte A. 6. Andronikashvili A. 27. Edudzi C. 21. Ouattara A. 11. Parulava O. 22. Shekiladze S.
Substitutes
30. Arthur J. 7. Gogoberishvili B. 26. Gulisashvili I. 34. Kacharava N. 15. Kapanadze T. 20. Kukhianidze S. 1. Kutaladze L. (G) 35. Mzwakali B. 16. Skhirtladze D.
17. Anoff B. 28. Bassinga D. 30. Boansi E. 20. Bughridze I. 33. Etou R. 34. Ilori T. 10. Khalaihal A. 15. Kobakhidze G. 12. Sanikidze L. (G)
Coaches
Mikadze G.
Longo D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Tolordava L. (Own goal),
21', Tolordava L. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Shekiladze S. ⚽, Konte A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
65', Tolordava L. ↓, Skhirtladze D. ↑,
65', Gogolashvili G. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
67', Parulava O. ↓, Anoff B. ↑,
67', Shekiladze S. ↓, Khalaihal A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Kacharava N. ⚽, Skhirtladze D. (A),
74', Tiboue J. 🟨,
76', Ouattara A. ↓, Bassinga D. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Dzebniauri T. ⚽, Olkhovi V. (A),
84', Papava L. ↓, Kukhianidze S. ↑,
84', Dzebniauri T. 🟨,
88', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Skhirtladze D. ⚽,
89', Skhirtladze D. 🟨,
90+2', Tiboue J. ↓, Ilori T. ↑,
90+2', Kikabidze T. ↓, Bughridze I. ↑,
90+6', Bassinga D. 🟨,
90+6', Kukhianidze S. 🟨,
Preview
Recent performances by Gareji have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Dila is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Dila is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gareji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Dila Gori - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.