Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Garliava		Ekranas

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.15	5.15	Watch
	1.53	3.91	4.91
	1.5	3.97	5.68	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.57	4.17	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)	3.98 ↓ (4)	5.14 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
59.5%

Draw
22.8%

Ekranas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22.9%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.7%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ekranas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Garliava - Ekranas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Pastukas J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Penaloza J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 2.

In recent matches, Garliava has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ekranas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Garliava is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Garliava won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25:58	-33	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	Babrungas Plungė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Neptūnas - Garliava	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Garliava - Jonava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LTLWW
- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ekranas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Minija Kretinga - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ekranas - Jonava	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
16.08.24	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0
23.03.24	Garliava - Ekranas	1:0
04.11.23	Garliava - Ekranas	4:0
25.06.23	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0
20.08.22	Ekranas - Garliava	3:3
09.04.22	Garliava - Ekranas	1:0

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