Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 21

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Gebenbach		ATSV Erlangen

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.85	2.25
	2.3	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.48)	3.8 ↓ (3.85)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gebenbach
37.3%

Draw
23.5%

ATSV Erlangen
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

23.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

23.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gebenbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ATSV Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gebenbach than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATSV Erlangen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gebenbach won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

ATSV Erlangen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, ATSV Erlangen has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gebenbach won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gebenbach won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gebenbach	13	8	2	3	22:13	9	26

Last Results with these Odds

Gebenbach - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DJK Gebenbach
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
22.11.25	Bayern Hof - Gebenbach	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Gebenbach - Jahn Regensburg II	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stadeln - Gebenbach	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Gebenbach - Großschwarzenlohe	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Gebenbach - Neumarkt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLWW
- ATSV Erlangen
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.03.26	Kornburg - ATSV Erlangen	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	ATSV Erlangen - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	ATSV Erlangen - Neudrossenfeld	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bayern Hof - ATSV Erlangen	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	ATSV Erlangen - Jahn Regensburg II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
15.11.24	ATSV Erlangen - Gebenbach	1:1
03.08.24	Gebenbach - ATSV Erlangen	1:2
12.03.24	ATSV Erlangen - Gebenbach	2:1
18.08.23	Gebenbach - ATSV Erlangen	3:1
08.03.23	Gebenbach - ATSV Erlangen	0:3
30.07.22	ATSV Erlangen - Gebenbach	0:5
12.11.21	ATSV Erlangen - Gebenbach	1:1

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