Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 24

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Gedania Gdańsk		Vineta Wolin

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.7	5.2
	1.45	4.6	5.36	Watch
	1.45	4.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	4.67 ↓ (6.2)	5.25 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gedania Gdańsk
63%

Draw
19.6%

Vineta Wolin
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

14.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

11.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gedania Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gedania Gdańsk's form might have worsened.

Vineta Wolin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gedania Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vineta Wolin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Gedania Gdańsk - Vineta Wolin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vineta Wolin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Stawikowski A. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Stawikowski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 2 - 1, Smolarczyk K. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Smolarczyk K. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Adamik M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Gedania is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vineta Wolin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gedania is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gedania won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 3.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gedania won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Gedania Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Wda Świecie	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Elana Toruń - Gedania Gdańsk	5:0 ✺
09.03.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Gedania Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL
- Vineta Wolin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.03.25	Vineta Wolin - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
22.03.25	Flota Świnoujście - Vineta Wolin	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Vineta Wolin	4:0 ✺
28.02.25	Vineta Wolin - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.06.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Vineta Wolin	5:1
18.11.23	Vineta Wolin - Gedania Gdańsk	2:1
08.04.23	Vineta Wolin - Gedania Gdańsk	2:3
03.09.22	Gedania Gdańsk - Vineta Wolin	4:0

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