Match Info

Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)


	General San Martín de Formosa		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.49	2.76	2.86
	9.69	3.43	1.47	Watch
	2.5	2.78	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (2.21)	2.99 ↑ (2.62)	2.4 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
21.4%

Draw
35%

Ciudad de Bolívar
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

34.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

33.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General San Martín de Formosa's form might have worsened.

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ciudad de Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General San Martín de Formosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 2. Brienzo N. 11. Chiquichano O. 5. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.	1. Biscardi R. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 5. Quintana B. 8. Yeri N.
Substitutes
14. Amud L. 19. Aquino A. 12. Cordero M. (G) 13. Denis M. E. 16. Duran F. 17. Haberkorn F. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 18. Peralta B. 20. Suarez I.	20. Abentin J. 14. Cardozo E. 17. Diaz A. 12. Laborda G. (G) 13. Lucero I. 19. Maciel J. 15. Pereyra J. 16. Perez R. 18. Schonfeld G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 🟨,
10', 🟨,
11', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
26', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
32', Yeri N. 🟥,
32', Chiquichano O. 🟥,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

San Martín Formosa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.09.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Cipolletti - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWT

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