Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Augusto Rodríguez (San Vicente de Tagua Tagua)


	General Velásquez		Provincial Osorno

	1	X	2
	3.07	3.39	1.99
	3.36	3.76	1.91	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2
	3.05	3.2	2.17
	3.05	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Velásquez
28.7%

Draw
27.2%

Provincial Osorno
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Abarca F. (G) 24. Abarca J. 26. Arriaza C. 10. Bustamante B. 3. Carrasco I. 4. Lopez F. 8. Pavez J. 28. Rivera B. 9. Vargas L. 21. Villablanca M. 27. Zamorano F.	1. Retamal D. (G) 9. Bielkiewicz D. 27. Caceres B. 22. Cortez M. 7. Escobar F. 8. Gutierrez J. 23. Lauler G. 29. Meneses L. 19. Moreno A. 14. Namoncura S. 17. Soto C.
Substitutes
17. Alfaro M. 12. Cerda J. (G) 7. Lorca J. 25. Monjes J. 20. Riquelme R. 15. Torres L. 5. Vidal J.	21. Bogmis J. 28. Gonzalez D. 30. Guzman D. 18. Lara D. (G) 6. Pacheco I. . Pezoa M. D. A. 16. Vergara D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Bielkiewicz D. ⚽,
29', Carrasco I. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
36', Bustamante B. 🟨,
37', Caceres B. 🟨,
45+1', Villablanca M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vargas L. ↓, Alfaro M. ↑,
46', Villablanca M. ↓, Lorca J. ↑,
47', Arriaza C. 🟨,
51', Lopez F. 🟨,
52', Meneses L. 🟨,
61', Escobar F. ↓, Pezoa M. D. A. ↑,
61', Zamorano F. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
64', Riquelme R. 🟥,
75', Namoncura S. ↓, Bogmis J. ↑,
75', Pezoa M. D. A. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
80', Moreno A. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
90', Lauler G. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Velásquez won 2.

Provincial Osorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, General Velásquez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, General Velásquez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Osorno	6	1	1	4	5:9	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Provincial Osorno - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
25.04.26	Lota Schwager - General Velásquez	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	General Velásquez - Santiago Morning	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Colchagua - General Velásquez	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	General Velásquez - Deportes Linares	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	San Antonio Unido - General Velásquez	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW
- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
18.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Colchagua	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Linares - Provincial Osorno	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Brujas Salamanca - Provincial Osorno	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Provincial Osorno - Santiago City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
26.07.25	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1:1
09.03.25	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	3:3
27.07.24	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	2:3
17.03.24	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	1:3
10.09.23	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	2:0
09.05.23	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	0:0

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