Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Augusto Rodríguez (San Vicente de Tagua Tagua)


	General Velásquez		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.65
	4.45	3.7	1.62
	4.54	4.01	1.62
	4.67	3.49	1.72	Watch
	4.62	3.58	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.11)	3.68 ↑ (3.54)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Velásquez
20.1%

Draw
24.8%

Deportes Puerto Montt
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.9%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

General Velásquez - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lecaros C. (G) 9. Arriaza C. 5. Carrasco J. 17. Cataldo I. 3. Gonzalez C. 26. Herrera J. 7. Lopes J. 15. Medina G. 6. Quezada M. 19. Salas Pizarro D. E. 10. Troncoso P.	13. Ureta L. (G) 14. Antinirre H. (C) 5. Calisto F. 23. Castillo G. 29. Castro R. 6. Diaz D. 30. Negrete S. 16. Ormeno M. 4. Riveros M. 2. Rodriguez C. 9. Vazquez L.
Substitutes
22. Abarca F. (G) 20. Campos B. 25. Gonzalez M. 21. Orellana A. 30. Pinto B. 31. Riquelme R. 32. Torres L.	25. Bustos G. 1. Catalan K. (G) 17. Flores Secal K. 28. Perez S. 21. Toledo M. 10. Vargas C. 3. Yanez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Diaz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Lopes J. 🟨,
67', Troncoso P. ↓, Campos B. ↑,
67', Lopes J. ↓, Orellana A. ↑,
69', Castillo G. 🟨,
69', Diaz D. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
69', Negrete S. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
80', Arriaza C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
83', Cataldo I. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
89', Cataldo I. ↓, Pinto B. ↑,
90', Medina G. 🟨,
90+7', Salas Pizarro D. E. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso).

General Velásquez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Puerto Montt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

General Velásquez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Puerto Montt is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, General Velásquez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, General Velásquez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
24.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - General Velásquez	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	General Velásquez - Santiago City	4:1 ✺
26.07.25	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	General Velásquez - Concón National	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWTT
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
23.08.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Trasandino de Los Andes	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Real San Joaquín	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	4:3 ✺
19.07.25	Brujas Salamanca - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
12.04.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:1
20.10.24	General Velásquez - Deportes Puerto Montt	5:1
26.05.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:0

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