The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genk U23 39%
Draw 26%
Seraing 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
25.3%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
25.6%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Genk U23 - Seraing Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Doucoure E. (C) 84. Sarfo E. 73. Mbavu E. 34. Palacios A. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 79. Nzoko D. 56. De Wannemacker A. 75. Ogbeiwi P. 78. Achahbar K. 66. Coenen J. 76. Driessen J.
1. Gillekens N. (C) 6. Da Costa E. 5. Corneillie V. 15. Diop M. 3. Kebe O. 22. Scarpinati M. 8. Bahri W. 14. Mabani F. 20. Tunkadi A. 24. Lockman T. 27. Messoussa A.
Substitutes
72. Barry A. 54. El Morabet S. 63. Henry Z. 59. Kapers W. 50. Kone M. 22. Manguelle B. 53. Mocsnik M. 58. N'Salambi P. 61. Van Laere D. (G)
25. Aamer R. 17. Bisarre M. 36. Bisevac A. 4. Bisevac R. 19. Bouchentouf N. 21. Di Crescenzo V. 10. Faye S. 31. Gregoire L. 16. Jean-Baptiste R. (G)
Coaches
de Camargo I.
Mercier A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Tunkadi A. ⚽, Mabani F. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Messoussa A. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Sarfo E. 🟨,
45+5', Doucoure E. 🟨,
45+5', Corneillie V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sarfo E. ↓, El Morabet S. ↑,
48', Coenen J. 🟨,
70', El Morabet S. 🟨,
72', Ogbeiwi P. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, De Wannemacker A. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Driessen J. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
73', Palacios A. 🟨,
74', Messoussa A. ↓, Di Crescenzo V. ↑,
74', Tunkadi A. ↓, Aamer R. ↑,
74', Mabani F. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
82', Lockman T. ↓, Bisarre M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Palacios A. ⚽, De Wannemacker A. (A),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 14th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 2.
In recent outings, Genk U23 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Seraing is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Genk U23 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Genk U23 has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Genk U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Genk U23
7
2
1
4
12:15
-3
7
14
Seraing
7
0
2
5
8:15
-7
2
Last Results with these Odds
Seraing - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.21%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Doucoure E. (C) 
Palacios A. 
Yoshinaga Y. 
Nzoko D. 
Corneillie V. 
Diop M. 
Messoussa A. 
Barry A. 
Kone M. 
Bisevac A. 
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