The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gençlerbirliği 38.4%
Draw 29.9%
Çaykur Rizespor 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
27.6%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
27.6%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Çaykur Rizespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Çaykur Rizespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Rizespor will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 55.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Velho R. (G) 88. Uzum F. 6. Goutas D. (C) 4. Zuzek Z. 2. Thalisson Kelven 35. Ulgun O. 15. Dele-Bashiru T. 20. Traore A. 70. Tongya F. 10. Mimaroglu M. 22. Koita S.
75. Fofana Y. (G) 6. Papanikolaou G. 27. Sagnan M. 3. Akaydin S. 5. Hojer C. (C) 14. Antalyali T. 54. Pala M. 10. Olawoyin I. 20. Laci Q. 7. Mihaila V. 9. Sowe A.
Substitutes
44. Celik A. 42. Diabate O. 77. Dursun A. 18. Erenturk E. (G) 11. Gurpuz G. 23. Hanousek M. 61. Kemaloglu E. 29. Niang M. 8. Onur S. 53. Varesanovic D.
18. Buljubasic M. 99. Bulut E. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 11. Dervisoglu H. 17. Mebude A. 4. Mocsi A. 70. Orak F. 65. Ortakaya E. 19. Pierrot F. 77. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Diyadin M.
Ucar R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sowe A. (Own goal),
19', Diyadin M. 🟨,
25', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
39', Ulgun O. ↓, Gurpuz G. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Koita S. ⚽, Tongya F. (A),
45+3', Akaydin S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Antalyali T. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
46', Sowe A. ↓, Dervisoglu H. ↑,
48', Tongya F. 🟨,
54', Koita S. 🟨,
59', Koita S. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
62', Pala M. 🟨,
65', Papanikolaou G. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
75', Hojer C. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Pala M. ⚽, Mebude A. (A),
79', Olawoyin I. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
82', Traore A. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
82', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Dursun A. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Pala M. ⚽, Mihaila V. (A),
90+4', Dervisoglu H. 🟨,
90+4', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2.
In recent matches, Gençlerbirliği has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rizespor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Rizespor
7
3
1
3
7:9
-2
10
13
Genclerbirligi
7
2
2
3
7:15
-8
8
Last Results with these Odds
Çaykur Rizespor - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.