Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Geretsried		Erlbach

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.45	1.44
	5.63	4.4	1.44	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.55)	4.35 ↑ (3.85)	1.47 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geretsried
17.3%

Draw
20.9%

Erlbach
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.6%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geretsried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geretsried's form might have worsened.

Erlbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erlbach's recent form is better than expected.

Geretsried - Erlbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

Erlbach's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Erlbach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Erlbach has had a series of home games.

In this match, Erlbach is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Geretsried
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
20.09.25	Türkspor Augsburg - Geretsried	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Geretsried - Deisenhofen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WL
- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
19.09.25	Erlbach - 1860 München II	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ismaning - Erlbach	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Erlbach - Nördlingen	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Erlbach - Landsberg	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Erlbach - TSV Kottern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWT

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