Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 15

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Germania Teveren		Frechen

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Germania Teveren
14.5%

Draw
17.5%

Frechen
68%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

24.7%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

23.9%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germania Teveren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frechen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germania Teveren than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frechen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Germania Teveren has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Frechen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Germania Teveren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germania Teveren
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
28.03.24	Germania Teveren - Borussia Freialdenhoven	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Bonn-Endenich - Germania Teveren	3:4 ✺
15.03.24	Germania Teveren - Blau-Weiß Königsdorf	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Germania Teveren	12:1 ✺
03.03.24	Germania Teveren - Hennef 05	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWLL
- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
17.03.24	Frechen - Bonn-Endenich	3:2 ✺
10.03.24	Frechen - Bergisch Gladbach	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Siegburger - Frechen	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Frechen - Vichttal	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Fortuna Köln II - Frechen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWL

Germania Teveren - Frechen