Match Info

UEFA Nations League Women - League A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Projkovska I. (Mkd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
France	France 4, Free
Germany	ARD, Das Erste, DFB Play, tv.dfb.de
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Germany W		France W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3.25	2.38
	2.85	3.45	2.38
	2.42	3.34	2.70	Watch
	2.87	3.5	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.42)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany W
34.4%

Draw
27.8%

France W
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

France W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Germany W - France W Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). France will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannes S. (G) Wolfsburg 7. Gwinn G. (C) Bayern Munich 3. Hendrich K. Chicago Stars 23. Kuver C. Wolfsburg 17. Kett F. Bayern Munich 20. Senss E. Eintracht Frankfurt 9. Nusken S. Chelsea 13. Wamser C. Bayer Leverkusen 22. Brand J. Lyon 19. Buhl K. Bayern Munich 16. Anyomi N. Eintracht Frankfurt	16. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) Juventus 13. Bacha S. Lyon 5. De Almeida E. PSG 4. Sombath A. Lyon 2. Lakrar M. Real Madrid 8. Geyoro G. (C) London City Lionesses 17. Baltimore S. Chelsea 6. Jean-Francois O. Chelsea 20. Cascarino D. San Diego Wave 12. Katoto M-A. Lyon 11. Diani K. Lyon
Substitutes
4. Bibi Athletic Bilbao 21. Borggrafe R. (G) Liverpool 15. Cerci S. Hoffenheim 6. Dallmann L. Bayern Munich 12. Dick L. (G) Hoffenheim 10. Freigang L. Eintracht Frankfurt 8. Lohmann S. Manchester City 18. Martinez S. West Ham 11. Schuller L. Bayern Munich 2. Sehitler A. Bayern Munich 14. Zicai C. Wolfsburg	23. Bogaert L. Paris FC 22. Bussy K. Wolfsburg 1. Chavas M. (G) Paris FC 14. Fazer L. San Diego Wave 15. Gago K. Everton 7. Karchaoui S. PSG 9. Malard M. Manchester United 10. Mateo C. Paris FC 19. Mbock G. PSG 21. Picaud C. (G) Fleury 91 3. Samoura T. PSG 18. Sangare W. London City Lionesses
Coaches
Wuck C.	Bonadei L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Anyomi N. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
60', Gwinn G. ↓, Cerci S. ↑,
63', Senss E. 🟨,
71', Baltimore S. ↓, Mateo C. ↑,
71', Katoto M-A. ↓, Malard M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Buhl K. ⚽,
80', Nusken S. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
80', Buhl K. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
85', Lakrar M. 🟨,
87', De Almeida E. ↓, Samoura T. ↑,
87', Diani K. ↓, Gago K. ↑,
89', Malard M. 🟨,
90+1', Brand J. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 3.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Germany won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany W
UEFA Euro Women
23.07.25	Germany W - Spain W	0:1 ET ✺
19.07.25	France W - Germany W	1:2 penalties ✺
12.07.25	Sweden W - Germany W	4:1 ✺
08.07.25	Germany W - Denmark W	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	Germany W - Poland W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- France W
UEFA Euro Women
19.07.25	France W - Germany W	1:2 penalties ✺
13.07.25	Netherlands W - France W	2:5 ✺
09.07.25	France W - Wales W	4:1 ✺
05.07.25	France W - England W	2:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	France W - Brazil W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro Women
19.07.25	France W - Germany W	1:2 penalties
UEFA Nations League Women
23.02.24	France W - Germany W	2:1
Friendly International Women
07.10.22	Germany W - France W	2:1
UEFA Euro Women
27.07.22	Germany W - France W	2:1
Friendly International Women
10.06.21	France W - Germany W	1:0
28.02.19	France W - Germany W	0:1
SheBelieves Cup Women
07.03.18	France W - Germany W	3:0

Germany W - France W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide