Match Info

Stars League - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Almanasa


	Ghaz Al Shamal		Newroz

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.80	2.15
	3.25	2.92	2.12
	3.28	2.79	2.23
	3.31	3	2.19
	3.20	2.75	2.20
	3.29	3.09	2.21
	3.20	2.95	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghaz Al Shamal
27.6%

Draw
31%

Newroz
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghaz Al Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghaz Al Shamal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ghaz Al Shamal - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 5th).

Ghaz Al Shamal has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Newroz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Newroz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15
13	Ghaz Al Shamal	8	1	5	2	4:5	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghaz Al Shamal
Iraqi Premier League
12.09.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Ghaz Al Shamal	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Duhok - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Jolan	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Kahraba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TTLTT
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
14.09.26	Al-Jolan - Newroz	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Newroz - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Naft Maysan - Newroz	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Newroz - Duhok	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Al-Talaba - Newroz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTL

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