Match Info

Date: 22 August 2022, Monday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)


	Ghazl El Mahalla		Misr El-Makasa

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8.5
	1.29	4.5	9.5
	1.27	4.7	10
	1.32	4.66	12.46
	1.3	4.33	10
	1.3	4.7	10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.68)	4.57 ↑ (3.39)	10.08 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
70.8%

Draw
20.1%

Misr El-Makasa
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

27.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ghazl El Mahalla's performance.

Misr El-Makasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Misr El-Makasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ghazl El Mahalla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Misr El-Makasa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Misr El-Makasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ghazl El Mahalla - Misr El Makasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Misr El-Makasa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ghazl El Mahalla: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 1.

Recent matches Ghazl El Mahalla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Misr El-Makasa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Misr El-Makasa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ghazl El Mahalla is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
18.08.22	El Gouna - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
09.08.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Pyramids	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Modern Sport - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Smouha	1:0 ✺
26.07.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLWT
- Misr El-Makasa
Egyptian Premier League
19.08.22	Misr El-Makasa - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:3 ✺
Egyptian Cup
14.08.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Misr El-Makasa	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
09.08.22	Zamalek - Misr El-Makasa	5:0 ✺
05.08.22	Misr El-Makasa - National Bank of Egypt	1:2 ✺
01.08.22	Ismaily - Misr El-Makasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
18.04.22	Misr El-Makasa - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1
28.05.21	Misr El-Makasa - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0
18.01.21	Ghazl El Mahalla - Misr El-Makasa	1:2
09.06.16	Misr El-Makasa - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0
13.01.16	Ghazl El Mahalla - Misr El-Makasa	0:1
12.06.14	Ghazl El Mahalla - Misr El-Makasa	0:0
15.02.14	Misr El-Makasa - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0

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