Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 15

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Haras El-Hodod Stadium (Alexandria)


	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar		Asyut Petroleum

	1	X	2
	3.95	2.42	2.22
	4.21	2.61	2.52
	3.89	2.46	2.33
	3.3	2.5	2.45
	3.64	2.49	2.35
	4.2	2.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.7)	2.46 ↑ (2.1)	2.39 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
23.8%

Draw
37.5%

Asyut Petroleum
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

43.4%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

43.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Asyut Petroleum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asyut Petroleum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asyut Petroleum than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asyut Petroleum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Asyut Petroleum Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Asyut Petroleum will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ghazl Kafr El Dawar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent performances by Ghazl Kafr El Dawar have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Asyut Petroleum is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Asyut Petroleum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Asyut Petroleum might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Asyut Petroleum - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
Egyptian Division 2 A
28.11.25	El Mansoura - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:1 ✺
20.11.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Tersana	0:1 ✺
30.10.25	La Viena - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - WE SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWLTL
- Asyut Petroleum
Egyptian Cup
04.12.25	El Gouna - Asyut Petroleum	2:1 ✺
Egyptian Division 2 A
28.11.25	Asyut Petroleum - Tersana	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	La Viena - Asyut Petroleum	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Asyut Petroleum - WE SC	2:2 ✺
30.10.25	Dayrout - Asyut Petroleum	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
09.04.25	Asyut Petroleum - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	1:1
02.12.24	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Asyut Petroleum	0:0
08.01.24	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Asyut Petroleum	1:1

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