Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	Gievenbeck		Paderborn II

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.1	1.66
	3.55	3.9	1.65
	3.6	3.95	1.67
	3.83	4.28	1.71
	4.02	4.32	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.52)	4.11 ↓ (4.35)	1.67 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gievenbeck
24.2%

Draw
21.9%

Paderborn II
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

20.6%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.2%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gievenbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Paderborn II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paderborn II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gievenbeck than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paderborn II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gievenbeck - Paderborn II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 4).

Gievenbeck has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paderborn II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Paderborn II is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gievenbeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gievenbeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Gievenbeck
German Oberliga Westfalen
04.12.22	Ennepetal - Gievenbeck	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Gievenbeck - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Eintracht Rheine - Gievenbeck	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Gievenbeck - Westfalia Rhynern	0:5 ✺
29.10.22	Gievenbeck - Bövinghausen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- SC Paderborn II
German Oberliga Westfalen
04.12.22	Paderborn II - Gütersloh	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Finnentrop Bamenohl - Paderborn II	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Paderborn II - Preußen Münster 2	1:1 ✺
04.11.22	Schermbeck 2020 - Paderborn II	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Paderborn II - 09 Dortmund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
10.02.19	Gievenbeck - Paderborn II	1:3
19.08.18	Paderborn II - Gievenbeck	3:0

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