Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HESSEN - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Gießen		Erlensee

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	6
	1.3	5.73	7.76
	1.36	4.33	6
	1.27	5.35	7.8
	1.25	5.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	5.13 ↑ (4.2)	7.11 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gießen
69.4%

Draw
17.8%

Erlensee
12.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

21.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

21%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gießen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gießen's performance.

Erlensee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erlensee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gießen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gießen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erlensee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gießen - Erlensee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Gießen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Erlensee is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gießen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gießen to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gießen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gießen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gießen
German Oberliga Hessen
23.09.23	Eintracht Stadtallendorf - Gießen	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Gießen - Hanau	2:2 ✺
09.09.23	SV Steinbach - Gießen	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Gießen - Türk Gücü Friedberg	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Baunatal - Gießen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWT
- FC 1906 Erlensee
German Oberliga Hessen
24.09.23	Eddersheim - Erlensee	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Erlensee - Fernwald	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Erlensee - Adler Weidenhausen	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Hanauer - Erlensee	4:1 ✺
26.08.23	Erlensee - Waldgirmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hessen
17.05.23	Erlensee - Gießen	3:0
12.11.22	Gießen - Erlensee	1:1

Gießen - Erlensee

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Gießen - Erlensee Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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