Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Gil Vicente		Varzim

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.9	1.86
	3.4	3.8	1.81
	3.57	3.89	1.85
	3.5	3.9	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.91)	3.87 ↑ (3.58)	1.84 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
26.8%

Draw
23.5%

Varzim
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Gil Vicente has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Varzim is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Varzim have a series of home games.

Varzim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
20.03.22	Valadares Gaia - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Atlético Ouriense - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Gil Vicente - Valadares Gaia	0:8 ✺
09.02.22	Gil Vicente - Condeixa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Varzim Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
20.03.22	Varzim - Atlético Ouriense	0:2 ✺
06.03.22	Varzim - Atlético CP	1:2 ✺
27.02.22	Amora - Varzim	6:2 ✺
13.02.22	Varzim - Estoril Praia	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Varzim - Condeixa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
19.12.21	Varzim - Gil Vicente	0:1
10.10.21	Gil Vicente - Varzim	1:3

Gil Vicente - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide