The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gil Vicente U19 33.1%
Draw 29.2%
Vitoria Guimarães U19 37.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
27.8%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
26.5%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Vitoria Guimarães U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente U19 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gil Vicente U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães U19 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Gil Vicente U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente U19 won 2.
Gil Vicente U19 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Guimarães U19 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Guimarães U19 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Gil Vicente U19 has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gil Vicente U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Gil Vicente U19 - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.14%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.